From 53d22a008ebbf809418f997d4de5114cb8ca63b8 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: Amund Eggen Svandal <aesvandal@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 12 Jul 2026 14:58:49 +0200
Subject: [PATCH] chore: lower well-known stats threshold to 40

Lower wellKnownStatsThreshold from 75 to 40 so ProviderModeWellKnown treats
players with at least 40 stored stat records as well-known (querying the
provider for fresh data); everyone below the threshold behaves like
ProviderModeNever.

Methodology: sampled the statsCount emitted by the "Counted stored player
stats for well-known provider mode" log line via Cloud Logging Analytics
(console.cloud.google.com/logs/analytics), over the last 12 hours as of
2026-07-12 14:59 CEST, and computed the share of requests clearing each
candidate threshold:

  WITH
    logs AS (
      SELECT * FROM `prism-overlay.global._Default._AllLogs`
      UNION ALL
      SELECT * FROM `prism-overlay.global._Required._AllLogs`
    ),
    stats AS (
      SELECT SAFE_CAST(JSON_VALUE(json_payload.statsCount) AS INT64) AS stats_count
      FROM logs
      WHERE JSON_VALUE(json_payload.statsCount) IS NOT NULL
    )
  SELECT
    t AS threshold,
    COUNTIF(stats_count >= t) AS count_run,
    ROUND(100 * COUNTIF(stats_count >= t) / COUNT(*), 1) AS pct_run
  FROM stats
  CROSS JOIN UNNEST([5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 40, 50, 60, 75, 100, 150, 250, 500, 1000]) AS t
  WHERE stats_count IS NOT NULL
  GROUP BY t
  ORDER BY t

  threshold | count_run | pct_run
  ----------+-----------+--------
          5 |     52850 |    39.7
         10 |     28112 |    21.1
         15 |     18428 |    13.8
         20 |     13276 |    10.0
         25 |     10371 |     7.8
         30 |      7908 |     5.9
         40 |      4531 |     3.4
         50 |      2872 |     2.2
         60 |      1885 |     1.4
         75 |      1085 |     0.8
        100 |       636 |     0.5
        150 |       309 |     0.2
        250 |       179 |     0.1
        500 |        70 |     0.1
       1000 |         6 |     0.0

statsCount >= 40 covered 3.4% of samples, up from 0.6% at the previous
threshold of 75.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
---
 internal/app/get_and_persist.go | 2 +-
 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 1 deletion(-)

diff --git a/internal/app/get_and_persist.go b/internal/app/get_and_persist.go
index 7415f768..fb729b24 100644
--- a/internal/app/get_and_persist.go
+++ b/internal/app/get_and_persist.go
@@ -42,7 +42,7 @@ const (
 // wellKnownStatsThreshold is the minimum number of stored stat records a player
 // must have for ProviderModeWellKnown to treat them as well-known and query the
 // provider for fresh data.
-const wellKnownStatsThreshold = 75
+const wellKnownStatsThreshold = 40
 
 func (m ProviderMode) validate() error {
 	switch m {