[Test Result] User Path Validation — Good vs Bad Experience Match #7
Description
Test Type
Test-6 & Test-7: User-Defined Path Validation
Test-6: My Good Path
- Path: DN46 > IO91 (Montana to England), 20m
- Conditions: SFI 150, Kp 2, 14:00 UTC, June
- Predicted: -20.3 dB, WSPR/FT8 OPEN
- Matches experience: ✅ Yes — worked G on 20m FT8 many times
Test-7: My Bad Path
- Path: DN46 > QF22 (Montana to Melbourne), 160m
- Conditions: SFI 80, Kp 5, 04:00 UTC, January
- Predicted: -28.3 dB, all modes closed
- Matches experience: ✅ Yes — never worked VK on 160m
System Info
| Model | v20 (Production) |
| Device | mps |
| ionis-validate | v0.2.3 |
Analysis
Model predictions align with 15+ years of operating experience:
- Good path: 20m transatlantic during afternoon UTC is reliable, model confirms
- Bad path: 160m long-path to VK from W7 is essentially impossible, model correctly predicts closure
- Both predictions validate against real-world QSO history
ionis-validate v0.2.3