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4 changes: 4 additions & 0 deletions .Jules/palette.md
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@@ -1,3 +1,7 @@
## 2024-05-22 - Visual Hierarchy in CLI Output
**Learning:** Adding color-coded indicators (Green/Red) and emojis (💰, 📉) in CLI tools significantly reduces cognitive load when parsing financial data streams. It transforms a wall of text into a scannable narrative.
**Action:** For data-heavy CLI applications, always implement a semantic color system and visual anchors (icons/emojis) for key events.

## 2024-05-23 - Accessibility in CLI Tools
**Learning:** Command-line tools with hardcoded colors can be inaccessible or noisy in certain terminals/logs. Offering a `--no-color` and `--quiet` flag respects user preference and environment constraints.
**Action:** Always include standard `argparse` flags for verbosity and color control in CLI utilities.
4 changes: 4 additions & 0 deletions .gitignore
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Expand Up @@ -39,3 +39,7 @@

# debug information files
*.dwo

# Python
__pycache__/
*.pyc
17 changes: 16 additions & 1 deletion README.md
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Expand Up @@ -26,10 +26,25 @@ Run the simulation script:
python bitcoin_trading_simulation.py
```

### Options

- `--days`: Number of days to simulate (default: 60)
- `--initial-cash`: Initial cash amount (default: 10000)
- `--initial-price`: Initial Bitcoin price (default: 50000)
- `--volatility`: Volatility factor (default: 0.02)
- `--quiet`: Suppress daily ledger output
- `--no-color`: Disable colored output

Example:

```bash
python bitcoin_trading_simulation.py --days 100 --initial-cash 5000 --quiet --no-color
```

## Tests

Run the test suite:

```bash
python test.py
pytest
```
61 changes: 47 additions & 14 deletions bitcoin_trading_simulation.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
import argparse
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd


class Colors:
HEADER = '\033[95m'
BLUE = '\033[94m'
Expand All @@ -9,6 +11,16 @@ class Colors:
ENDC = '\033[0m'
BOLD = '\033[1m'

@classmethod
def disable(cls):
cls.HEADER = ''
cls.BLUE = ''
cls.GREEN = ''
cls.RED = ''
cls.ENDC = ''
cls.BOLD = ''


def simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=60, initial_price=50000, volatility=0.02):
"""
Simulates Bitcoin prices for a given number of days using Geometric Brownian Motion.
Expand All @@ -23,6 +35,7 @@ def simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=60, initial_price=50000, volatility=0.02):
prices.append(prices[-1] + price_change)
return pd.Series(prices, name='Price')


def calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=7, long_window=30):
"""
Calculates short and long moving averages for a given price series.
Expand All @@ -33,6 +46,7 @@ def calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=7, long_window=30):
signals['long_mavg'] = prices.rolling(window=long_window, min_periods=1, center=False).mean()
return signals


def generate_trading_signals(signals):
"""
Generates trading signals based on the Golden Cross strategy.
Expand All @@ -44,12 +58,13 @@ def generate_trading_signals(signals):
signals.loc[signals['short_mavg'] > signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = 1.0
# A Death Cross (sell signal)
signals.loc[signals['short_mavg'] < signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = -1.0

# We create 'positions' to represent the trading action: 1 for buy, -1 for sell, 0 for hold
signals['positions'] = signals['signal'].diff().shift(1)
return signals

def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000):

def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000, quiet=False):
"""
Simulates trading based on signals and prints a daily ledger.
"""
Expand All @@ -59,7 +74,8 @@ def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000):
portfolio['btc'] = 0.0
portfolio['total_value'] = float(initial_cash)

print(f"{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Daily Trading Ledger ------{Colors.ENDC}")
if not quiet:
print(f"{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Daily Trading Ledger ------{Colors.ENDC}")
for i, row in signals.iterrows():
if i > 0:
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] = portfolio.loc[i-1, 'cash']
Expand All @@ -81,32 +97,49 @@ def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000):
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] = 0

portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value'] = portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] + portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] * row['price']
print(f"Day {i}: Portfolio Value: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value']:.2f}, Cash: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'cash']:.2f}, BTC: {portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f}")

if not quiet:
print(
f"Day {i}: Portfolio Value: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value']:.2f}, "
f"Cash: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'cash']:.2f}, BTC: {portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f}"
)

return portfolio


if __name__ == "__main__":
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description='Bitcoin Trading Simulation')
parser.add_argument('--days', type=int, default=60, help='Number of days to simulate')
parser.add_argument('--initial-cash', type=float, default=10000, help='Initial cash amount')
parser.add_argument('--initial-price', type=float, default=50000, help='Initial Bitcoin price')
parser.add_argument('--volatility', type=float, default=0.02, help='Volatility factor')
parser.add_argument('--quiet', action='store_true', help='Suppress daily ledger output')
parser.add_argument('--no-color', action='store_true', help='Disable colored output')
args = parser.parse_args()

if args.no_color:
Colors.disable()

# Simulate prices
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices()
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=args.days, initial_price=args.initial_price, volatility=args.volatility)

# Calculate moving averages
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices)

# Generate trading signals
signals = generate_trading_signals(signals)

# Simulate trading
portfolio = simulate_trading(signals)
portfolio = simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=args.initial_cash, quiet=args.quiet)

# Final portfolio performance
final_value = portfolio['total_value'].iloc[-1]
initial_cash = 10000
initial_cash = args.initial_cash
profit = final_value - initial_cash

# Compare with buy and hold strategy
buy_and_hold_btc = initial_cash / prices.iloc[0]
buy_and_hold_value = buy_and_hold_btc * prices.iloc[-1]

print(f"\n{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Final Portfolio Performance ------{Colors.ENDC}")
print(f"Initial Cash: ${initial_cash:.2f}")
print(f"Final Portfolio Value: ${final_value:.2f}")
Expand Down
3 changes: 0 additions & 3 deletions test.py

This file was deleted.

42 changes: 42 additions & 0 deletions test_simulation.py
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@@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
import subprocess
import sys
import pandas as pd
from bitcoin_trading_simulation import simulate_bitcoin_prices, calculate_moving_averages, generate_trading_signals


def test_simulate_bitcoin_prices():
days = 10
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=days, initial_price=100, volatility=0.01)
assert len(prices) == days
assert isinstance(prices, pd.Series)
assert prices.iloc[0] == 100


def test_calculate_moving_averages():
prices = pd.Series([100, 101, 102, 103, 104, 105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110])
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=3, long_window=5)
assert 'short_mavg' in signals.columns
assert 'long_mavg' in signals.columns
assert not signals['short_mavg'].isnull().all()


def test_generate_trading_signals():
# Create a dummy signal dataframe
data = {
'price': [100, 110, 100, 90, 100],
'short_mavg': [100, 110, 100, 90, 100],
'long_mavg': [100, 100, 100, 100, 100]
}
signals = pd.DataFrame(data)
signals = generate_trading_signals(signals)
assert 'positions' in signals.columns
# Check if signals are generated (1.0 or -1.0 or 0.0)
assert signals['signal'].isin([1.0, -1.0, 0.0]).all()


def test_cli_execution():
# Test running the script via subprocess to ensure it doesn't crash
result = subprocess.run([sys.executable, 'bitcoin_trading_simulation.py'], capture_output=True, text=True)
assert result.returncode == 0
assert "Daily Trading Ledger" in result.stdout
assert "Final Portfolio Performance" in result.stdout