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4 changes: 4 additions & 0 deletions .Jules/palette.md
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@@ -1,3 +1,7 @@
## 2024-05-22 - Visual Hierarchy in CLI Output
**Learning:** Adding color-coded indicators (Green/Red) and emojis (💰, 📉) in CLI tools significantly reduces cognitive load when parsing financial data streams. It transforms a wall of text into a scannable narrative.
**Action:** For data-heavy CLI applications, always implement a semantic color system and visual anchors (icons/emojis) for key events.

## 2024-05-23 - Accessibility and Customization in CLI Tools
**Learning:** While rich CLI output is engaging, it can be problematic for accessibility or automated parsing. Providing flags like `--no-color` and `--quiet` ensures the tool is versatile and inclusive.
**Action:** Always include `--no-color` and `--quiet` flags in CLI tools that use rich formatting.
4 changes: 4 additions & 0 deletions .gitignore
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Expand Up @@ -39,3 +39,7 @@

# debug information files
*.dwo

# Python
__pycache__/
*.pyc
15 changes: 15 additions & 0 deletions README.md
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Expand Up @@ -26,6 +26,21 @@ Run the simulation script:
python bitcoin_trading_simulation.py
```

### Options

- `--days`: Number of days to simulate (default: 60)
- `--initial-cash`: Initial cash amount (default: 10000)
- `--initial-price`: Initial Bitcoin price (default: 50000)
- `--volatility`: Price volatility (default: 0.02)
- `--quiet`: Suppress daily ledger output
- `--no-color`: Disable colored output

Example:

```bash
python bitcoin_trading_simulation.py --days 30 --initial-cash 5000 --quiet
```

## Tests

Run the test suite:
Expand Down
66 changes: 50 additions & 16 deletions bitcoin_trading_simulation.py
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import argparse


class Colors:
HEADER = '\033[95m'
Expand All @@ -9,6 +11,16 @@ class Colors:
ENDC = '\033[0m'
BOLD = '\033[1m'

@classmethod
def disable(cls):
cls.HEADER = ''
cls.BLUE = ''
cls.GREEN = ''
cls.RED = ''
cls.ENDC = ''
cls.BOLD = ''


def simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=60, initial_price=50000, volatility=0.02):
"""
Simulates Bitcoin prices for a given number of days using Geometric Brownian Motion.
Expand All @@ -23,6 +35,7 @@ def simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=60, initial_price=50000, volatility=0.02):
prices.append(prices[-1] + price_change)
return pd.Series(prices, name='Price')


def calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=7, long_window=30):
"""
Calculates short and long moving averages for a given price series.
Expand All @@ -33,6 +46,7 @@ def calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=7, long_window=30):
signals['long_mavg'] = prices.rolling(window=long_window, min_periods=1, center=False).mean()
return signals


def generate_trading_signals(signals):
"""
Generates trading signals based on the Golden Cross strategy.
Expand All @@ -44,12 +58,13 @@ def generate_trading_signals(signals):
signals.loc[signals['short_mavg'] > signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = 1.0
# A Death Cross (sell signal)
signals.loc[signals['short_mavg'] < signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = -1.0

# We create 'positions' to represent the trading action: 1 for buy, -1 for sell, 0 for hold
signals['positions'] = signals['signal'].diff().shift(1)
return signals

def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000):

def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000, quiet=False):
"""
Simulates trading based on signals and prints a daily ledger.
"""
Expand All @@ -59,11 +74,13 @@ def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000):
portfolio['btc'] = 0.0
portfolio['total_value'] = float(initial_cash)

print(f"{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Daily Trading Ledger ------{Colors.ENDC}")
if not quiet:
print(f"{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Daily Trading Ledger ------{Colors.ENDC}")

for i, row in signals.iterrows():
if i > 0:
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] = portfolio.loc[i-1, 'cash']
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] = portfolio.loc[i-1, 'btc']
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] = portfolio.loc[i - 1, 'cash']
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] = portfolio.loc[i - 1, 'btc']

# Buy signal
if row['positions'] == 2.0:
Expand All @@ -81,32 +98,49 @@ def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000):
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] = 0

portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value'] = portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] + portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] * row['price']
print(f"Day {i}: Portfolio Value: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value']:.2f}, Cash: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'cash']:.2f}, BTC: {portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f}")


if not quiet:
print(f"Day {i}: Portfolio Value: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value']:.2f}, "
f"Cash: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'cash']:.2f}, BTC: {portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f}")

return portfolio


if __name__ == "__main__":
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Bitcoin Trading Simulation")
parser.add_argument("--days", type=int, default=60, help="Number of days to simulate")
parser.add_argument("--initial-cash", type=float, default=10000, help="Initial cash amount")
parser.add_argument("--initial-price", type=float, default=50000, help="Initial Bitcoin price")
parser.add_argument("--volatility", type=float, default=0.02, help="Price volatility")
parser.add_argument("--quiet", action="store_true", help="Suppress daily ledger output")
parser.add_argument("--no-color", action="store_true", help="Disable colored output")

args = parser.parse_args()

if args.no_color:
Colors.disable()

# Simulate prices
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices()
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=args.days, initial_price=args.initial_price, volatility=args.volatility)

# Calculate moving averages
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices)

# Generate trading signals
signals = generate_trading_signals(signals)

# Simulate trading
portfolio = simulate_trading(signals)
portfolio = simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=args.initial_cash, quiet=args.quiet)

# Final portfolio performance
final_value = portfolio['total_value'].iloc[-1]
initial_cash = 10000
initial_cash = args.initial_cash
profit = final_value - initial_cash

# Compare with buy and hold strategy
buy_and_hold_btc = initial_cash / prices.iloc[0]
buy_and_hold_value = buy_and_hold_btc * prices.iloc[-1]

print(f"\n{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Final Portfolio Performance ------{Colors.ENDC}")
print(f"Initial Cash: ${initial_cash:.2f}")
print(f"Final Portfolio Value: ${final_value:.2f}")
Expand Down
3 changes: 0 additions & 3 deletions test.py

This file was deleted.

45 changes: 45 additions & 0 deletions test_bitcoin_trading.py
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import unittest
import pandas as pd
from bitcoin_trading_simulation import (
simulate_bitcoin_prices,
calculate_moving_averages,
generate_trading_signals,
simulate_trading
)


class TestBitcoinSimulation(unittest.TestCase):
def test_simulate_bitcoin_prices(self):
days = 10
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=days)
self.assertIsInstance(prices, pd.Series)
self.assertEqual(len(prices), days)

def test_calculate_moving_averages(self):
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=20)
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=5, long_window=10)
self.assertIsInstance(signals, pd.DataFrame)
self.assertIn('short_mavg', signals.columns)
self.assertIn('long_mavg', signals.columns)

def test_generate_trading_signals(self):
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=20)
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=5, long_window=10)
signals = generate_trading_signals(signals)
self.assertIn('signal', signals.columns)
self.assertIn('positions', signals.columns)

def test_simulate_trading(self):
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=20)
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=5, long_window=10)
signals = generate_trading_signals(signals)
portfolio = simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000, quiet=True)
self.assertIsInstance(portfolio, pd.DataFrame)
self.assertIn('total_value', portfolio.columns)
self.assertIn('cash', portfolio.columns)
self.assertIn('btc', portfolio.columns)
self.assertEqual(len(portfolio), 20)


if __name__ == '__main__':
unittest.main()