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4 changes: 4 additions & 0 deletions .gitignore
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -39,3 +39,7 @@

# debug information files
*.dwo

# Python
__pycache__/
*.pyc
19 changes: 12 additions & 7 deletions bitcoin_trading_simulation.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -14,15 +14,20 @@ def simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=60, initial_price=50000, volatility=0.02):
Simulates Bitcoin prices for a given number of days using Geometric Brownian Motion.
"""
dt = 1
prices = [initial_price]
for _ in range(days - 1):
# Using a simplified model for daily price changes
drift = 0 # Assuming no long-term drift for simplicity
shock = np.random.normal(0, volatility)
price_change = prices[-1] * (drift * dt + shock * np.sqrt(dt))
prices.append(prices[-1] + price_change)
# Using a simplified model for daily price changes
drift = 0 # Assuming no long-term drift for simplicity

# Vectorized Geometric Brownian Motion simulation
shocks = np.random.normal(0, volatility, days - 1)
multipliers = 1 + drift * dt + shocks * np.sqrt(dt)

prices = np.empty(days)
prices[0] = initial_price
prices[1:] = initial_price * np.cumprod(multipliers)

return pd.Series(prices, name='Price')


def calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=7, long_window=30):
"""
Calculates short and long moving averages for a given price series.
Expand Down
29 changes: 29 additions & 0 deletions test_bitcoin_trading.py
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@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
import unittest
import pandas as pd
from bitcoin_trading_simulation import simulate_bitcoin_prices


class TestBitcoinSimulation(unittest.TestCase):
def test_simulate_bitcoin_prices_length(self):
days = 100
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=days)
self.assertEqual(len(prices), days)

def test_simulate_bitcoin_prices_start_value(self):
initial_price = 50000
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(initial_price=initial_price)
self.assertEqual(prices.iloc[0], initial_price)

def test_simulate_bitcoin_prices_type(self):
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices()
self.assertIsInstance(prices, pd.Series)
self.assertEqual(prices.name, 'Price')

def test_simulate_bitcoin_prices_values(self):
# Check that prices are not all the same (volatility implies change)
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=100, volatility=0.02)
self.assertGreater(prices.std(), 0)


if __name__ == '__main__':
unittest.main()