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docs: "How It Works" overview tying architecture to backtest results (P3.2)#63

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docs: "How It Works" overview tying architecture to backtest results (P3.2)#63
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@Jcstack Jcstack commented Jun 25, 2026

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Closes #58. A short, newcomer-friendly technical write-up of the OODA decision loop (aggregate → Bayesian prescreen → bull/bear debate → risk gates → Kelly sizing) and the closed calibration loop, ending with the honest out-of-sample backtest (no demonstrated alpha — +25.5% vs +351.7% buy-and-hold, 0/14) and a reproduce command. Clearly separates what is real (the machinery) from what is unproven (the inputs). Linked from README + docs index.

A screen-recorded demo GIF still needs a manual capture — noted as a follow-up rather than fabricated. Docs-only; simulation-only project, not investment advice.

…lts (#58)

Closes #58 (P3.2). A short, newcomer-friendly technical write-up of the OODA
decision loop (aggregate → Bayesian prescreen → debate → risk gates → Kelly)
and the closed calibration loop, ending with the honest out-of-sample backtest
finding (no demonstrated alpha; +25.5% vs +351.7% buy-and-hold, 0/14) and a
reproduce command. Separates what is real (the machinery) from what is unproven
(the inputs). Linked from README + docs index.

Note: a screen-recorded demo GIF still needs a manual capture — documented as a
follow-up rather than fabricated.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Jcstack enabled auto-merge (squash) June 25, 2026 17:14
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Jcstack merged commit f93f217 into main Jun 26, 2026
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Jcstack deleted the docs/how-it-works branch June 26, 2026 07:31
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[P3.2] Technical write-up + demo with backtest results

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