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SOEC Stack-Level Flowsheet Model & Techno-Economic Analysis

Stack/system-level flowsheet modeling and techno-economic analysis (TEA) of green hydrogen produced by high-temperature solid oxide electrolysis cells (HT-SOEC) at industrial scale, with the produced hydrogen routed to Underground Hydrogen Storage (UHS). The study couples a process-simulator flowsheet with a Monte Carlo financial model to quantify the levelized cost of hydrogen and the economic risk of the system.

This repository is part of my PhD research. A companion repository, SOEC-Cell-First-Principles-Modeling, covers the cell-level, first-principles electrochemical model at laboratory scale.


🔬 What this project does

  • Process model & validation — an HT-SOEC stack/system model whose performance is validated against published experimental data (e.g. operation at 950 °C and Sorensen et al.).
  • Techno-economic model — CAPEX/OPEX build-up and discounted cash-flow analysis producing the Net Present Value (NPV) and levelized cost of hydrogen.
  • Monte Carlo simulation (uncertainty & risk) — propagates uncertainty in key techno-economic inputs (electricity price, capital cost, efficiency, etc.) using truncated normal distributions to produce probability distributions of NPV and identify the main cost drivers.
  • Process flowsheet & simulation files — the underlying SOEC process simulation (.simx) and flowsheet (.drawio) used to size equipment and generate mass/energy balances.

📂 Repository structure

TEA-UHS-Hydrogen/
├── notebooks/
│   ├── monte_carlo_v2.ipynb       # Main Monte Carlo NPV / risk analysis
│   ├── MCS_HTSOEC.ipynb           # Monte Carlo simulation of the HT-SOEC TEA
│   └── Model_validation.ipynb     # SOEC performance model vs. literature data
├── data/
│   ├── HT-SOEC_TEA_optimized.xlsx # Optimized techno-economic model
│   ├── TEA_HTSOEC_H2_NEW.xlsx     # Techno-economic input/results workbook
│   └── CashFlow_Modeling.xlsx     # Discounted cash-flow model
├── simulation/
│   ├── *.simx                     # Process-simulator files (SOEC electrolysis rig & TEA)
│   └── SOEC_FS.drawio             # Process flowsheet diagram
├── results/                       # Generated figures (NPV distributions, CAPEX/OPEX, validation)
├── requirements.txt
├── LICENSE
└── README.md

Note on .simx files: these are binaries for a proprietary process simulator and can only be opened in that software. They are versioned here for completeness; the file ending in …_final reflects the most complete model.


📈 Selected results

Figures produced by the notebooks live in results/:

File Shows
npv_probability_distribution_updated.png Monte Carlo probability distribution of project NPV
output_capex_opex.png CAPEX / OPEX breakdown
output_component_comparison.png Cost contribution by component
Model_validation_950 C.png, Model_validation_soren_etal.png Model vs. experimental validation

🚀 Getting started

# (recommended) create a virtual environment
python -m venv .venv
source .venv/bin/activate      # Windows: .venv\Scripts\activate

pip install -r requirements.txt

jupyter lab

Open notebooks/monte_carlo_v2.ipynb to reproduce the techno-economic and risk analysis. The notebooks read the workbooks in data/ — keep that folder alongside the notebooks so the relative paths resolve.


🧰 Tech stack

Area Tools
Data & numerics numpy, pandas, scipy
Financial modeling numpy-financial (NPV / IRR)
Statistics & uncertainty scipy.stats (truncated normal), Monte Carlo
Model validation scikit-learn (R²), scipy.optimize (curve fitting)
Visualization matplotlib, seaborn
Spreadsheets openpyxl

👤 Author

Krishnamurthy Busam — PhD research, techno-economic analysis of hydrogen systems.

📄 License

Released under the MIT License. Excel workbooks, simulation files, and figures are shared for transparency and reuse within the terms of that license.

About

Stack/system-level flowsheet model and techno-economic analysis (Monte Carlo) of HT-SOEC hydrogen production at industrial scale, with Underground Hydrogen Storage (UHS).

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