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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions tasks.md
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| [Understanding Time Zones and Global Time Differences](https://github.com/NousResearch/Open-Reasoning-Tasks/blob/main/tasks/understanding-time-zones-and-global-time-differences.md) | Calculating time differences across various time zones and understanding how global time works. |
| [Unraveling Paradoxes](https://github.com/NousResearch/Open-Reasoning-Tasks/blob/main/tasks/unraveling-paradoxes.md) | Analyzing and explaining paradoxes or logical puzzles. |
| [Multiturn Latex Generation](https://github.com/NousResearch/Open-Reasoning-Tasks/blob/main/tasks/multiturn-latex-generation.md) | Generating latex documents and suggesting edits using multiturn instructions. |
| Crypto Trading Strategy Optimization | crypto/trading_strategy_optimization.md | Advanced | Portfolio management, risk assessment, market analysis |
65 changes: 65 additions & 0 deletions tasks/crypto/trading_strategy_optimization.md
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## Task: Crypto Trading Strategy Optimization

### Description
Analyze market conditions and develop optimal trading strategies for cryptocurrency portfolios based on technical indicators, risk tolerance, and market sentiment.

### Examples
**Input:**
Portfolio: $50,000 total allocation
Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
Time horizon: 3 months
Risk tolerance: Moderate
Market conditions:
- BTC: $45,000 (24h: +2.3%, Volume: High)
- ETH: $3,200 (24h: +5.1%, Volume: Very High)
- SOL: $98 (24h: -1.8%, Volume: Medium)
- AVAX: $35 (24h: +0.9%, Volume: Low)
Technical indicators:
- BTC: RSI 65, MACD bullish crossover
- ETH: RSI 72, MACD bullish, Stochastic overbought
- SOL: RSI 45, MACD bearish divergence
- AVAX: RSI 58, MACD neutral
Market sentiment: Positive (Fear and Greed Index: 68)
Upcoming events: ETH Shanghai upgrade in 2 weeks

**Output:**
MARKET ANALYSIS:
1. Overall Trend: Bullish (BTC +2.3%, ETH +5.1% leading)
2. Strength: ETH showing strongest momentum
3. Risk Signals: ETH overbought (RSI 72), need caution
4. Opportunity: SOL undervalued relative to market

STRATEGY RECOMMENDATIONS:

Primary Strategy - Momentum with Risk Management:
- ETH: 40% ($20,000) - Strong momentum, take partial profits
- BTC: 30% ($15,000) - Stable growth, diversification
- SOL: 20% ($10,000) - Contrarian bet on oversold asset
- AVAX: 10% ($5,000) - Small position for diversification

ENTRY STRATEGY:
1. ETH: Scale in over 3 days (dollar-cost average with current momentum)
2. BTC: Immediate entry at current levels with stop-loss at $42,000
3. SOL: Wait for RSI confirmation below 40, then accumulate
4. AVAX: Small test position, add if momentum builds

RISK MANAGEMENT:
- ETH: Take 25% profits at RSI >75, re-enter on dips
- BTC: Stop-loss at $42,000 (7% risk)
- SOL: Max position $15,000 if thesis proves correct
- Portfolio stop-loss: Total 10% decline trigger review

UPCOMING EVENTS IMPACT:
- ETH Shanghai upgrade: Could cause volatility, consider reducing ETH exposure 1 week before
- If ETH rally continues, rotate some profits to BTC for stability

REBALANCING TRIGGERS:
- Weekly: If any asset moves >15%, rebalance to target allocation
- Monthly: Review overall strategy based on new market data
- Event-driven: Adjust before major network upgrades

Expected Returns: 15-25% over 3 months (moderate risk assumption)
Risk Level: 6/10 (acceptable for risk tolerance)

### Tags
trading, portfolio-optimization, technical-analysis, risk-management, cryptocurrency, market-analysis