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49 changes: 49 additions & 0 deletions data/protocol/NCT01797120/README.md
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# Synthetic Subject Data for NCT01797120

synthetic subject data for the breast cancer study NCT01797120 using the results published on clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01797120-results.fhir.json)


## Summary

| Metric | Target | Actual |
|---------------------------|---------------|---------------|
| Subjects (FULEV / FULPL) | 66 / 65 | 66 / 65 ✓ |
| PFS events FULEV | 39 | 39 ✓ |
| PFS events FULPL | 50 | 50 ✓ |
| ORR FULEV | 18.2% | 18.8% ✓ |
| ORR FULPL | 12.3% | 12.7% ✓ |
| CBR FULEV | 63.6% | 68.8% (~close)|
| CBR FULPL | 41.5% | 49.2% (~close)|


**CBR = CR + PR + SD ≥ 24 weeks**

Where:
CR — Complete Response: all target lesions disappear
PR — Partial Response: ≥30% decrease in sum of lesion diameters
SD — Stable Disease: neither CR/PR nor progression, sustained for at least 24 weeks (≈6 months)

The published targets for this trial were:

| Arm | CBR |
|-------------------------------|-------------------------------|
| Fulvestrant + Everolimus | 63.6% (42/66) |
| Fulvestrant + Placebo | 41.5% (27/65) |


The small Clinical Benefit Rate (CBR) overcount comes from the 2+4 "still on treatment" subjects (who remain in the EFFFL population) being assigned responses from the CBR-sized pool. PFS events and ORR hit their targets exactly.

Output files in *_test_data/_*:

| File | Rows | Content |
|-------------------|-------------------|-----------------------------------|
| DM.csv | 131 | Demographics, arm, site, dates |
| EX.csv | 2,099 | Fulvestrant IM doses + everolimus/placebo daily records |
| LB.csv | 19,068 | CBC, chemistry, lipids at every visit |
| VS.csv | 6,810 | BP, HR, temp, weight at every visit |
| TU.csv | 610 | RECIST target lesion diameters at imaging visits |
| RS.csv | 328 | Overall disease response at each assessment |
| ADSL.csv | 131 | Subject-level PFS/OS times, events, response flags |
| ADTTE.csv | 254 | One PFS + one OS record per treated subject |


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# NCT01797120 (PrE0102) — FHIR Bundle Summary

Source: `docs/NCT01797120-results.fhir.json`

---

## Study Overview

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Title | Study of Fulvestrant +/- Everolimus in Post-Menopausal, HR+ Metastatic Breast Cancer Resistant to Aromatase Inhibitor Therapy |
| Acronym | PrE0102 |
| Phase | II |
| Design | Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Parallel Cohort |
| Status | Completed |
| Sponsor | PrECOG, LLC (with Novartis as industry collaborator) |
| Study Chair | Noah S Kornblum, MD (Saint Barnabas Cancer Center / Montefiore Medical Center) |
| Publication | Journal of Clinical Oncology, June 2018 (PMID: 29664714) |
| Study Period | May 2013 – September 2017 |

---

## Study Design & Arms

1:1 randomization, stratified by:
- ECOG Performance Status (0 vs. 1)
- Measurable disease (yes vs. no)
- Prior chemotherapy for metastatic disease (yes vs. no)

| Arm | n | Treatment |
|---|---|---|
| Active | 66 | Fulvestrant 500 mg IM (Day 1 & 15, Cycle 1; then Day 1 q28d) + Everolimus 10 mg PO daily |
| Control | 65 | Fulvestrant 500 mg IM (same schedule) + Placebo (2 tablets daily) |

Maximum 12 cycles (48 weeks). Patients without disease progression after 12 cycles were
unblinded and could continue at the same doses until progression or unacceptable toxicity.
Patients on placebo crossed over to everolimus after unblinding.

---

## Eligibility Criteria

### Inclusion
- Postmenopausal female, age ≥ 18
- Histologically/cytologically confirmed breast adenocarcinoma, Stage IV or inoperable
locally advanced
- ER and/or PR positive; HER2/neu negative or equivocal
- Aromatase inhibitor (AI) resistant: relapsed during adjuvant AI, or progressive disease
during AI for metastatic disease
- ECOG Performance Status 0–1
- ≤ 1 prior chemotherapy regimen for metastatic disease
- Adequate organ function: WBC ≥ 3.0 × 10⁹/L, Hgb ≥ 9 g/dL, bilirubin ≤ 1.5× ULN,
LFTs ≤ 2.5× ULN, creatinine ≤ 1.5× ULN, cholesterol ≤ 300 mg/dL,
triglycerides ≤ 2.5× ULN

### Exclusion
- Prior mTOR inhibitor therapy
- Brain metastases or leptomeningeal disease
- Rapid progressive or life-threatening metastases
- Major surgery within 4 weeks of randomization
- Systemic corticosteroids ≥ 5 mg prednisone equivalent daily
- Investigational agent within 4 weeks
- Anticancer treatment within 4 weeks (bisphosphonates and GnRH analogs permitted)
- Hypersensitivity to everolimus or fulvestrant
- Gastrointestinal impairment affecting drug absorption
- Severe uncontrolled comorbidities: CHF NYHA Class III–IV, unstable angina, MI within
6 months, uncontrolled diabetes, active infections, cirrhosis
- Active hepatitis B or C without documented clearance

---

## Endpoints

| Priority | Measure | Definition | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary | Progression-Free Survival (PFS) | Time to progression per RECIST v1.0 (≥20% increase in target lesion sum, non-target lesion worsening, or new lesions) or death | Every 3 months, up to 3 years |
| Secondary | Clinical Benefit Rate (CBR) | Proportion with CR, PR, or stable disease ≥ 24 weeks per RECIST v1.0 | Every 3 months, up to 3 years |
| Secondary | Objective Response Rate (ORR) | Proportion with CR or PR per RECIST v1.0 | Every 3 months, up to 3 years |
| Secondary | Overall Survival (OS) | Time to death from any cause; characterised by Kaplan-Meier | Every 3 months, up to 3 years |

---

## Key Results

### Primary Endpoint — Median PFS

| Arm | n | Median PFS | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulvestrant + Everolimus | 66 | **10.3 months** | 7.6–13.8 months |
| Fulvestrant + Placebo | 65 | **5.1 months** | 3.0–8.0 months |

### Clinical Benefit Rate

| Arm | n | CBR | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulvestrant + Everolimus | 66 | **63.6%** | 50.9%–75.1% |

---

## Enrollment & Participant Flow

**Total enrolled:** 131 patients (66 active / 65 control)

### Discontinuation Reasons

| Reason | Everolimus Arm (n=66) | Placebo Arm (n=65) |
|---|---|---|
| Adverse events | 37 | 49 |
| Lack of efficacy | 13 | 5 |
| Withdrawal by subject | 3 | 0 |
| Protocol violation | 1 | 0 |
| Death | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 6 | 6 |
| Not recorded | 2 | 4 |

---

## Baseline Characteristics

| Characteristic | Everolimus Arm | Placebo Arm | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| n | 66 | 65 | 131 |
| Median age (years) | 64 (range 39–92) | 59 (range 35–85) | 63 (range 35–92) |
| Sex | All female | All female | All female |
| White | — | — | 64 |
| Black | — | — | 8 |
| Other | — | — | 2 |
| Not specified | — | — | 57 |

---

## Study Sites (25 sites, United States)

| # | Site | Location |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marin Cancer Care | Greenbrae, CA |
| 2 | Stanford University | Stanford, CA |
| 3 | SwedishAmerican Regional Cancer Center | Rockford, IL |
| 4 | McFarland Clinic, PC | Ames, IA |
| 5 | Johns Hopkins University | Baltimore, MD |
| 6 | St. Joseph Mercy Hospital (MI Cancer Consortium) | Ann Arbor, MI |
| 7 | Metro MN | Saint Louis Park, MN |
| 8 | Missouri Valley Cancer Consortium | Omaha, NE |
| 9 | Beth Israel | New York, NY |
| 10 | Montefiore Medical Center | The Bronx, NY |
| 11 | Ohio State University Medical Center | Columbus, OH |
| 12 | Toledo COP | Toledo, OH |
| 13 | Hematology & Oncology Associates of Northeastern PA | Dunmore, PA |
| 14 | Penn State University | Hershey, PA |
| 15 | Thomas Jefferson University | Philadelphia, PA |
| 16 | Fox Chase Cancer Center | Philadelphia, PA |
| 17 | University of Pittsburgh – Magee Women's Hospital | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 18 | Reading Hospital – McGlinn Family Regional Cancer Center | West Reading, PA |
| 19 | Main Line Health System | Wynnewood, PA |
| 20 | University of Texas Southwestern | Dallas, TX |
| 21 | Charleston Area Medical Center (CAMC) | Charleston, WV |
| 22 | St. Vincent Hospital | Green Bay, WI |
| 23 | Gundersen Health System | La Crosse, WI |
| 24 | ProHealth Care Inc. | Waukesha, WI |
| 25 | Aurora Cancer Care | Wauwatosa, WI |

Sites are concentrated in the mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions, with community oncology
representation alongside major academic medical centres.

---

## FHIR Bundle Structure

**Bundle type:** `collection` | **Timestamp:** 2026-04-10 | **Total entries:** 22

| Resource Type | Count | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| `ResearchStudy` | 1 | Study metadata, design, eligibility, contacts |
| `EvidenceVariable` | 20+ | Interventions, outcomes, and analysis variables |
| `Group` | 4+ | Comparison group and eligibility definitions |
| `Location` | 25 | Study sites with geocoordinates |
| `Composition` | 5 | Structured results reports |
| `Evidence` | 75+ | Statistical results (medians, CIs, rates) |
| `PractitionerRole` | 1 | Study contact details |

The bundle conforms to the `http://hl7.org/fhir/uv/ebm` evidence-based medicine profiles
and was generated by Computable Publishing's FEvIR (FHIR Evidence in Resources) Converter.

---

## Interpretation

NCT01797120 (PrE0102) is a Phase 2 trial demonstrating that adding everolimus (mTOR
inhibitor) to fulvestrant approximately doubles median PFS in postmenopausal women with
AI-resistant HR+ metastatic breast cancer (10.3 vs. 5.1 months). The result is mechanistically
consistent with the Phase 3 BOLERO-2 trial (everolimus + exemestane) and supports the
hypothesis that PI3K/mTOR pathway activation is a key driver of endocrine resistance in
this setting. The clinical benefit rate of 63.6% in the combination arm underscores meaningful
disease control in a population with limited options after AI failure.
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