| Author | Collin George |
| Contact | collin.george@protonmail.com |
| Published | March 2026 |
| Status | Unclassified // Open Source // Independent Policy Research |
| Repository | https://github.com/collingeorge/WP-2026 |
| Institution | Center for Competitive Statecraft and Strategic Policy |
All papers in this series are independent academic and policy research produced solely by the author in a personal capacity. Nothing in this repository reflects the views or positions of the University of Washington, UW Medical Center, or any other institution. All analysis is based entirely on open-source, publicly available information. No classified or controlled information was used.
This repository serves as the primary timestamped publication record for the WP-2026 series. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
| SENI Sub-Series Corpus | 11-document sanctions enforcement targeting framework for the Russian nuclear fuel cycle — node profiles, scoring model, financial pathway analysis, strategic annexes |
| Interactive Intelligence Map | 372-node georeferenced enforcement database across 25 threat networks with satellite imagery |
| SENI Executive Synthesis | Two-page bottom-line findings and priority enforcement options for the Russian nuclear fuel cycle |
| Series Authority Index | Full paper assessments, reading order rationale, cross-cutting gaps, and series architecture detail |
Launch: SENI v4 — Strategic Enforcement Node Index: Global Map
Georeferenced companion to the WP-2026 series. 372 nodes across 25 threat networks: Russia-China strategic infrastructure, Russian nuclear fuel cycle, Iran WMD program, Makran Coast industrial complex, Hormuz crisis architecture, DPRK nuclear and cyber networks, global cartel and terrorist finance networks, PRC and Russian overseas military basing, Wagner/Africa Corps, IRGC-QF external operations, and BRI strategic infrastructure. Satellite imagery via Esri World Imagery (Maxar/Earthstar Geographics). OSINT basis only. Confidence levels, legal authorities, and enforcement theory carried through per node.
Companion documents: WP-2026-SENI-01 | SENI Sub-Series | WP-2026-INFRA-01 | Map CI Assessment
All papers in this series are produced against documented editorial and production standards. The following documents govern institutional voice, analytic tradecraft, document architecture, and pre-publication review across the full series.
| Document | Purpose |
|---|---|
| WP-2026-StyleGuide-v3.pdf | Governing editorial standard: institutional voice, ODNI-anchored analytic tradecraft, document architecture, visual design system, source tier system, pre-publication revision checklist |
| WP-2026-CI-Assessment-v3.pdf | Series-level open-source counterintelligence exposure assessment |
| WP-2026-SENI-CI-01.pdf | SENI sub-series CI assessment (v1.4 final) — adversary utility ratings by document, legal analysis, partial mitigation assessment |
| WP-2026-MAP-CI-01.pdf | Interactive map and node database CI assessment (v1.4 final) — delivery architecture, satellite export function, filter aggregation, GitHub hosting vectors |
| WP-2026-Verbiage-Guide-v2.2.pdf | Governing analytic drafting doctrine: institutional register, ODNI-anchored tradecraft, agency-specific register alignment, prohibited language taxonomy, competing hypotheses discipline, open-source visibility bias, friction/coercive effect distinction, and mandatory pre-submission sweep checklist |
The WP-2026 series is an independent policy research portfolio spanning sanctions enforcement law, competitive statecraft, financial intelligence, threat analysis, and enforcement framework design. It develops an integrated analytical architecture from foundational attribution methodology through strategic framework to operational execution, applied to the primary national security challenges of 2025–2026.
Five original analytical contributions anchor the series:
The Nexus Protocol (ATTRIBUTION-01 / CSE-01): a five-rung state nexus attribution framework with explicit disconfirmation criteria, corroboration standards, and institutional calibration across OFAC, DOJ, State, IC, and Commerce/BIS.
The PERSIST Architecture (PERSIST-01 / TARIFF-01 / CONTAIN-01 / MAXPRESS-01): a litigation-resilient competitive statecraft framework with six authority rails, tiered escalation ladder, four-tier standards of proof, neutral designation-selection rule, guardrail index, and the Coalition Conflict Resolution Protocol (CCRP).
The Strategic Enforcement Node Index (WP-2026-SENI-01 + WP-2026-SENI sub-series): a 372-node global sanctions enforcement targeting register spanning 15 sections, with a dedicated 11-document analytical sub-series mapping the Russian nuclear fuel cycle across three analytical layers — intelligence estimate, enforcement playbook, and strategic model — with financial pathway analysis to named Western correspondent banking institutions, quantitative scoring, cascade modeling, and legal threshold validation.
The Siege Doctrine (SIEGE-01 / UNIFIED-01): a seven-chokepoint financial isolation framework demonstrating that coordinated simultaneous denial across all viable financial channels creates cumulative cost escalation sufficient to render large-scale criminal operations economically unsustainable, with a unified integration memorandum applying the framework across narcotics, proliferation, and terrorist financing domains simultaneously.
The Corridor Wager (BRI-01 / EST-01): a grand strategy assessment of the conditional strategic opportunity space opened by the March 2026 Hormuz crisis, identifying a US-led coalition corridor architecture capable of competing with BRI at contestable nodes and institutionalizing transit governance through a Hormuz-Indian Ocean Forum. EST-01 presents the BRI-01 analysis as an IC-style strategic estimate with key judgments, scenario-conditioned outcome pathways, competing hypotheses, and indicators.
For full paper assessments, reading order rationale, cross-cutting gaps, and series architecture detail: 00-authority-index/WP-2026-Authority-Index.pdf
Read the Methodology Stack first. Strategic Architecture papers assume familiarity with the attribution framework. Threat Analysis papers can be read in any order after the methodology stack. The SENI sub-series has its own internal reading order — see 01-seni/README.md. Earlier-Generation papers are flagged for revision.
01-methodology/WP-2026-ATTRIBUTION-01 - THE NEXUS PROTOCOL.pdf
Establishes a four-level state nexus attribution framework — Presence, Linkage, Support, Direct Tasking — with explicit disconfirmation criteria, five corroboration principles, and institutional calibration across State, OFAC, DOJ, IC, and Commerce/BIS. Documents six attribution failure modes including advocacy capture. Produces model findings language at each level with mandatory disconfirmation requirements. All attribution-level judgments across the series draw on this framework.
Reads into: CSE-01, SHIELD-01, all papers.
01-methodology/WP-2026-NEXUS-01 - THE PRC STATE NEXUS PROTOCOL.pdf
Extends ATTRIBUTION-01 by inserting Enablement as a fifth rung between Support and Direct Tasking. Adds beneficial ownership analysis, VIE architecture treatment, and institutional calibration for the OFAC 50 Percent Rule, FinCEN CDD, and the CFIUS effective-control test. Defines four Support/Enablement boundary tests — directionality of benefit, structural necessity, substitutability, and concealment function — and documents seven failure modes including threshold laundering and toleration-as-tasking.
Reads into: SHIELD-01, PERSIST-01, all PRC-focused enforcement papers.
02-strategic-architecture/WP-2026-PERSIST-01.pdf
Five-pillar competitive statecraft framework — Economic Constraint, Information Disruption, Military Readiness Uncertainty, Deterrence Architecture, Allied and Domestic Resilience — with six authority rails, tiered escalation ladder (Tier 0–3), four-tier standards of proof, neutral designation-selection rule with prohibited-factor list, guardrail index with automatic pause mechanics, prescriptive substitution guide, and model memoranda. Explicitly acknowledges allied fracture, blowback, substitution, escalation, legitimacy, and legal record risks.
Reads into: TARIFF-01, CONTAIN-01, MAXPRESS-01, all enforcement papers.
4. TARIFF-01 / ANCHOR — Litigation-Resilient Architecture for Evidence-Gated Tariff and Trade Enforcement
02-strategic-architecture/WP-2026-TARIFF-01.pdf
Seven-rail tariff enforcement architecture (Section 301, Section 232, IEEPA, Section 122 bridge, AD-CVD, WTO/FTA, Customs Administration) with bright-line predicate definitions, an explicit exclusions list naming trade deficits and FX movements as insufficient predicates, and a five-indicator economic shock guardrail. Appendix C provides a 70%/30%/24-month strategic dependency threshold. The instrument sequencing rule prevents tariff tools from substituting for what export controls and sanctions are designed to do.
Reads into: PERSIST-01, CONTAIN-01, MAXPRESS-01.
02-strategic-architecture/WP-2026-CONTAIN-01.pdf
Rejects regime collapse and coercive breakthrough as realistic success criteria. Four-component framework: Integrated Systemic Attrition Doctrine (ISAD) targeting +25–45% transaction cost inflation over 12–24 months; Sustainable Pressure and Alternatives Denial (SPAD) targeting reliability inputs rather than settlement rails; Dollar Enforcement Effectiveness Index (DEEI) with automatic non-discretionary downshift protocol; and a 90-day operational observability cycle. Failure indicators are defined with the same precision as success indicators.
Reads into: MAXPRESS-01.
02-strategic-architecture/WP-2026-MAXPRESS-01-v4-edit.pdf
Companion to CONTAIN-01. Translates strategic architecture into practitioner-ready execution grounded in 2025–2026 enforcement practice. Addresses five structural gaps from prior maximum pressure campaigns: designation latency, sequential enforcement, episodic secondary sanctions, absent observability protocol, and coalition endurance deficit. Documents pre-staging rolling 90-day readiness packages, simultaneous BIS/OFAC action as default, Lloyd's/P&I Club maritime reliability degradation mechanism, and target-specific parameters for Iran/IRGC, Russia/shadow fleet, PRC networks, Cuba/GAESA, and Venezuela.
Reads into: All enforcement papers.
7. BRI-01 — The Corridor Wager: BRI Displacement, Hormuz Leverage, and Conditional Strategic Opportunity
02-strategic-architecture/WP-2026-BRI-01-v4.1.pdf
Grand strategy capstone of the WP-2026 series. Assesses a conditional strategic opportunity space opened by the March 2026 Hormuz crisis: a US-led coalition corridor architecture capable of displacing BRI at contestable nodes, institutionalizing transit governance through a Hormuz-Indian Ocean Forum, and converting the GCC relationship into a decade-level strategic lock-in. Six key judgments with dual-axis confidence labels. Scenario-conditioned throughout. Final hardened draft.
Companion: WP-2026-EST-01 — BRI Corridor Architecture: Strategic Estimate
02-strategic-architecture/WP-2026-EST-01.pdf
IC-style strategic estimate derived from BRI-01. Presents the BRI-01 analysis in tradecraft format: six key judgments with probability assessments and dual-axis confidence labels, scope and open-source ceiling statement, baseline assessment separate from scenario-conditioned estimate, five scenario-conditioned outcome pathways with probability bands, three competing alternative hypotheses, ten-indicator signpost table, and implications under scenario conditions.
Reads into: PERSIST-01, CONTAIN-01, SHIELD-01 (CCRP), HORMUZ-01/02.
8. Maximum Pressure Immigration Architecture — Border Enforcement and Financial Isolation Integration
02-strategic-architecture/Maximum Pressure Immigration Architecture v6 FINAL.pdf
Applies the maximum pressure enforcement architecture to immigration-linked transnational criminal networks. Integrates border enforcement mechanisms with financial isolation tools to address the intersection of illegal migration infrastructure and organized criminal financing.
Reads into: MAXPRESS-01, ARCH-03, SIEGE-01.
03-applied-enforcement/WP-2026-SHIELD-01 V7 PUBLISH.pdf 03-applied-enforcement/WP-2026-SHIELD-01-EB V7 FINAL2.pdf
Applies the five-rung Commercial State Nexus Ladder to sanctions enforcement against PRC-shielded partner-state networks (Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, DPRK). Produces seven Key Judgments with explicit confidence levels, a ten-instrument authority-to-action matrix, a five-phase sequencing architecture, and the Coalition Conflict Resolution Protocol (CCRP). The CCRP resolves the operational contradiction between technology-denial coordination and simultaneous trade friction with the same allied partners: technology-denial takes precedence in coalition-sensitive domains, with a 30-day mandatory USTR/BIS/State review window before tariff escalation.
Reads into: PERSIST-01, MAXPRESS-01.
Academic Article Derivative: Targeting the Enablement Layer (Peer-Review Version)
03-applied-enforcement/WP-2026-SHIELD-01-Academic-Article.pdf
Peer-review-targeted academic article derived from SHIELD-01. Reformatted for International Security / Security Studies register. Introduces the Enablement-tier targeting thesis with comparative case evidence, develops the CCRP as a mechanism-design argument, and provides a systematic open-source evidentiary ceiling mapping as a methodological contribution. Approximately 8,500 body words, 26 continuous footnotes.
03-applied-enforcement/WP-2026-SENI-01-v5.2-final.pdf
372-node global sanctions enforcement targeting register across 15 sections. Current version: v5.2 | March 2026.
Scope: Russia-China strategic infrastructure (Section I); BRI / PRC military expansion (II); Russian nuclear fuel cycle — enrichment, fabrication, reprocessing, weapons complex, research reactors, Western financial counterparties (III); terrorist finance networks — Hezbollah, Hamas/PIJ (IV); Iran nuclear / Makran (V); Hormuz / IRGC military (VI); cartel / narcotics finance — Sinaloa, CJNG (VII); DPRK finance and WMD (VIII); Venezuela / Cuba evasion (IX); Wagner / Africa Corps (X); Russian covert finance / intelligence — GRU/FSB (XI); bioweapons / dual-use bio (XII); Pakistan proliferation / CPEC (XIII); Russia WMD programs (XIV); Myanmar SAC revenue (XV).
Node counts: 110 DESIGNATED | 52 TARGETABLE | 35 PARTIAL | 144 MONITOR | 11 CONSTRAINED | 14 OFF-LIMITS | 3 NEXUS | 3 SEIZED
Key authorities: EO 14024/EO 14114, EO 13382, EO 13694 (90 FR 24723), CAATSA §226/231/232, IEEPA §1702, GENIUS Act Pub. L. 119-27 (139 Stat. 419), Kingpin Act, 18 U.S.C. §2339B, 31 U.S.C. §5318A, EU Reg. 833/2014 (19th package), EO 14014, EO 13224, EO 13722/13687, FATF R.15/R.16, IMO A.1192(33).
SENI Sub-Series Corpus (11 documents, 3 analytical layers): 01-seni/
The Russian nuclear fuel cycle section of SENI-01 is developed in depth as a standalone sub-series. The corpus spans 47 node profiles, a five-dimension quantitative scoring model, two financial pathway analyses (D2=[4+] Isotope JSC chain; D2=[4] ChMP zirconium channel), 30/90/180-day cascade modeling, a seven-tier China escalation ladder, and sanctions authority validation. See 01-seni/README.md for the complete document index and reading order.
Reads into: SHIELD-01, PERSIST-01, MAXPRESS-01, CONTAIN-01.
03-applied-enforcement/WP-2026-INFRA-01-v5-4-DISSEMINATION.pdf
Infrastructure enforcement framework addressing physical and digital supply chain interdiction points. Complements the SENI at the technical enforcement layer.
03-applied-enforcement/WP-2026-AXIS-01-v3.0-FINAL.pdf
Public-source assessment of enforcement resilience, node criticality, and sanctions friction across the Russia–China strategic economic partnership and its 60-node infrastructure complex. Central analytical contribution: a two-axis node-criticality framework combining irreplaceability and throughput volume to distinguish node classes by exposure profile and pressure-durability constraint. Core finding: available evidence suggests hosting-layer continuity and stablecoin liquidity access are more consequential to network durability than entity-level designation alone, based on documented migration patterns following the March 2022 Garantex designation. Six Key Judgments with dual-axis confidence labels. Legal-authority mapping across EO 14024, EO 13382, CAATSA §226, GENIUS Act Pub. L. 119-27, and IEEPA §1702 with explicit legal-operational distinction. Identifies three structural enforcement gaps not remediable through designation alone: third-country enforcement deficit (Kyrgyzstan/UAE/HK), Chinese sovereign infrastructure constraint, and BRICS Bridge/mBridge CBDC gap outside stablecoin jurisdiction. Four-scenario defensive planning model replacing protocol framing. Explicit counterintelligence and deception-risk caveat on open-source network visibility as a potential selection effect. Version: v3.0 FINAL · Style Guide v3.0 compliant.
Reads upstream from: MAXPRESS-01, SENI-01 §I, PERSIST-01, BRI-01.
04-threat-analysis/WP-2026-IRAN NUCLEAR ASSESSMENT.pdf
Post-strike open-source assessment of Iran's nuclear status following Operation Midnight Hammer (June 2025). Applies five-category analytic labeling: OBSERVED / ASSESSMENT / ALTERNATIVE EXPLANATION / KEY UNKNOWN / IMPLICATION. Covers pre-strike baseline (~408–440 kg U-235 at 60%, 18,000+ centrifuges), Fordow penetration effects, three-model stockpile location analysis, Pickaxe Mountain assessment (~33.707°N, 51.718°E, 260–330 feet depth), conditional breakout timeline (5–10 days worst case per DIA), and NCRI allegation calibration held at Tier 3.
Reads into: HORMUZ-01, HORMUZ-02, CPF-02.
04-threat-analysis/WP-2026- IRAN WMD ASSESSMENT.pdf
Companion assessment covering the broader Iranian weapons program including chemical and biological dimensions beyond the nuclear-focused assessment.
04-threat-analysis/BW Assessment SUBMISSION FINAL.pdf 04-threat-analysis/BW Assessment Executive Derivative.pdf
Unclassified defensive assessment of state BW-related risk for China, Russia, Iran, and DPRK. Two-axis confidence framework applied consistently: confidence level and evidence type assessed separately. Source hierarchy explicitly enforced: ODNI ATA, State Department compliance reports, HHS/ASPR, CDC, UNODA, WHO, UNSCR 1540. Verification gap characterized as structural rather than episodic. Executive Derivative provides condensed decision-support version.
Reads into: Iran Nuclear Assessment, CPF-02.
04-threat-analysis/WP-2026-HORMUZ.pdf
Active crisis context (IRGC declared closure March 2, 2026). Three-posture analysis with reinforced distributed posture analytically favored. Assessable stakes: approximately 20M bpd, all Qatari LNG, 5,000+ pre-positioned Iranian naval mines. Original analytical contribution: the threat of Kharg Island seizure is assessed as more durable leverage than actual seizure, given civilian protection obligations under Hague Regulations Arts. 42–56 and the compounding administration burden of occupation.
Reads into: HORMUZ-02, Iran Nuclear, SHIELD-01, MAXPRESS-01 Iran track.
04-threat-analysis/WP-2026-HORMUZ-02-v4_1-FINAL.pdf
Companion to HORMUZ-01. Full integrated campaign architecture for Hormuz stabilization across four time horizons (0–30 days through 1–5 years). Partner-by-partner coordination matrix covering 11 actors. Four-track diplomatic resolution sequence. Proxy and multi-front risk architecture. Conditional great-power mineral trade framework. Full confidence lexicon with documented/modeled boundary convention applied throughout. Part X converts pre-seizure Kharg deterrence analysis into post-seizure occupation obligation analysis. Version: v4.1 Final Hardened.
Reads into: HORMUZ-01, MAXPRESS-01, UNIFIED-01, CONTAIN-01, INFRA-01.
These papers predate the methodology and architecture standards developed in ATTRIBUTION-01, PERSIST-01, and ANCHOR. Statutory mechanics are sound. Analytic discipline and language register are being updated to match series standards. Published for completeness and intellectual transparency.
05-earlier-generation/WP-2026-UNIFIED-01.pdf
Integration memorandum unifying CTF-01, CPF-02, and ARCH-03 into a single coordinated enforcement architecture. Core analytical finding: Mexican cartels, Iranian proliferation networks, and Hezbollah financial facilitators utilize shared shadow banking infrastructure, hawala networks, and shell company jurisdictions. A single Section 311 designation against a Dubai exchange house produces enforcement efficiencies across fentanyl smuggling, WMD procurement, and terrorist financing simultaneously.
Key authorities: 31 U.S.C. §5318A, §5323, 18 U.S.C. §981(k), §2339B, §2339D, E.O. 13224, E.O. 13382, FEND Off Fentanyl Act.
05-earlier-generation/WP-2026-SIEGE-01.pdf
Proposes a paradigm shift from sequential designation to simultaneous multi-channel denial across all seven viable financial access categories: formal banking, physical currency, cryptocurrency, trade finance, real estate, informal value transfer (hawala), and maritime/logistics networks. Economic modeling demonstrates that coordinated seven-chokepoint closure produces 1,200–2,000% cumulative cost escalation. Under revision to apply PERSIST evidence-gating standards and integrate SENI node-level targeting.
Key authorities: 31 U.S.C. §5318A, §5323, §5324, 18 U.S.C. §981(k), §981(a), E.O. 13224, E.O. 13382, E.O. 14059, 46 U.S.C. §70201, 31 C.F.R. §1010.370, GENIUS Act Pub. L. 119-27.
05-earlier-generation/WP-2026-CTF-01.pdf
Counter-terrorist financing framework synchronizing 31 U.S.C. §5318A, E.O. 13224, §5323, and §319(b). Applies Section 311 class designation for hawala corridors, §981(k) substitution, §5323 whistleblower mechanics, and crypto enforcement including DeFi gateway targeting. Under revision to apply PERSIST evidence-gating standards.
05-earlier-generation/WP-2026-CPF-02.pdf
Counter-proliferation finance framework mapping CAATSA §231/232, CISADA, and NKSPEA by target, triggering condition, and evasion vector. Documents 180-day warning letter protocol, maritime de-flagging sanctions, §981(k) binary-choice framing, and crypto enforcement covering DPRK Lazarus Group mining and Iranian oil-in-crypto. Under revision to apply PERSIST evidence-gating standards.
05-earlier-generation/WP-2026-ARCH-03 .pdf
Counter-narcotics framework applying the FEND Off Fentanyl Act, §5318A, and §5323 to PRC precursor-to-cartel supply chains. Primary analytical finding: the February 2025 FTO designation of Sinaloa and CJNG creates §2339B material support exposure for PRC precursor suppliers, converting export control violations into felony prosecutions. Under revision to apply PERSIST evidence-gating standards.
06-isr-annexes/ISR Decision Support Annex.pdf
ISR decision support framework providing analytical scaffolding for collection prioritization and assessment.
06-isr-annexes/ISR WMD Intelligence Briefing.pdf
WMD-focused intelligence briefing providing decision-support analysis for the threat characterization papers.
| Authority | Type | Primary Application |
|---|---|---|
| EO 14024 (as amended by EO 14114) | US Executive Order | Primary Russia sanctions; FFI secondary sanctions (§11) |
| EO 13662 / Directives 1–4 | US Executive Order | Sectoral sanctions; deepwater/Arctic/shale restrictions |
| EO 13382 | US Executive Order | WMD proliferators; Rosatom/TVEL targeting |
| EO 13694 (as amended by EO 14306, 90 FR 24723) | US Executive Order | Cyber-enabled malicious activities |
| EO 14071 | US Executive Order | Prohibition on petroleum services to Russia |
| EO 14105 | US Executive Order | Outbound investment screening |
| EO 14014 | US Executive Order | Myanmar/Burma blocking authority |
| EO 13224 | US Executive Order | SDGT blocking; terrorist financing |
| EO 13722 / EO 13687 | US Executive Order | DPRK blocking authority |
| EO 14059 | US Executive Order | Narcotics trafficking blocking authority |
| EO 13846 | US Executive Order | Iran sanctions re-imposition authority |
| CAATSA §226/231/232 | US Statute | FFI secondary sanctions; Russian defense; Russia-Iran tech transfer |
| IEEPA §1702 | US Statute | Blocking authority; ISP-level de-peering |
| GENIUS Act Pub. L. 119-27 (139 Stat. 419) | US Statute | Stablecoin BSA treatment; mandatory freeze/burn/seize |
| 31 U.S.C. §5318A (Section 311) | US Statute | Primary money laundering concern designations |
| 31 U.S.C. §5323 | US Statute | AML whistleblower bounty program |
| 18 U.S.C. §981(k) | US Statute | Asset substitution; correspondent balance seizure |
| 18 U.S.C. §2339B / §2339D | US Statute | Material support to terrorism / WMD |
| Kingpin Act | US Statute | Narcotics cartel blocking authority |
| CISADA | US Statute | Iranian petroleum/financial messaging secondary sanctions |
| NKSPEA | US Statute | DPRK dual-use trade enforcement |
| FEND Off Fentanyl Act | US Statute | PRC precursor supply chain enforcement |
| ECRA / EAR | US Statute/Regulation | Export controls; BIS Entity List |
| 31 C.F.R. §1010.370 | US Regulation | Real estate reporting rule; GTO authority |
| EU Regulation 833/2014 (19th package, Oct 23 2025) | EU Regulation | Russia sectoral sanctions; LNG ban; shadow fleet; SPFS/Mir/SBP |
| EU Regulation 269/2014 | EU Regulation | Individual asset freeze and travel ban |
| FATF R.15 / R.16 | FATF Framework | New technologies; wire transfer transparency |
| IMO Resolution A.1192(33) | IMO Framework | High-risk shipping; shadow fleet designation criterion |
| UNCLOS Art. 38 | International Law | Transit passage; Hormuz legal framework |
| Hague Convention VIII / Regulations Arts. 42–56 | International Law | Mine warfare; occupation obligations |
| Geneva Convention IV | International Law | Civilian protection; Kharg Island analysis |
00-series-standards/
Style Guide v3.0 (governs all papers)
CI Assessment v3.0 (series-level exposure review)
SENI-CI-01 v1.4 → 01-seni/00-architecture/ (SENI sub-series CI assessment)
MAP-CI-01 v1.4 → 07-intelligence-map/ (interactive map CI assessment)
Verbiage Guide v2.2 (governing analytic drafting doctrine)
ATTRIBUTION-01 (4-level nexus framework)
|
CSE-01/NEXUS-01 (5-rung PRC extension)
|
|---> SHIELD-01 (CCRP) ---> SENI-01 v5.2 (372 nodes, 15 sections)
| | |
| | [01-seni/ sub-series — 11 documents]
| | ├── EXEC-01 (executive synthesis)
| | ├── ARCH-01 (series architecture)
| | ├── L1: Vol1-3 node profiles + Analytical
| | │ (FIN-01, EVA-01, SEQ-01, CONF-01, RST-01)
| | ├── L2: SCORE-01-v2, FPA-01-v3, FPA-02
| | └── L3: Layer3 (SYS-01, CHN-01, AUTH-01)
| |
| +--> SHIELD-01-Academic-Article (peer-review derivative)
|
|---> PERSIST-01 ---> TARIFF-01
| |
| |---> CONTAIN-01 (ISAD/SPAD/DEEI)
| | |
| | MAXPRESS-01 (execution layer)
| | |
| | +--> AXIS-01 (Russia-China axis: enforcement resilience and friction assessment)
| | |
| | +--> SENI-01 §I (Russia-China strategic infrastructure nodes)
| |
| | Immigration Architecture
| |
| +--> INFRA-01
|
+--> HORMUZ-01 ---> HORMUZ-02 (integrated campaign architecture)
| |
| +--> IRAN-NUCLEAR ---> BW-ASSESSMENT
| |
| IRAN-WMD
|
+--> BRI-01 v4.1 (grand strategy capstone)
|
+--> EST-01 (IC-style strategic estimate derivative)
UNIFIED-01 (cross-domain integration)
|
|---> SIEGE-01 (seven chokepoints)
|---> CTF-01 (terrorist financing)
|---> CPF-02 (proliferation finance)
+--> ARCH-03 (fentanyl supply chains)
ISR Decision Support Annex / ISR WMD Briefing
07-intelligence-map/
SENI v4 Global Map (401 nodes, 25 networks)
MAP-CI-01 v1.4 (delivery architecture CI assessment)
George, Collin. WP-2026: Independent Policy Research Series. Center for Competitive Statecraft and Strategic Policy, March 2026. https://github.com/collingeorge/WP-2026
UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE // INDEPENDENT POLICY RESEARCH Center for Competitive Statecraft and Strategic Policy | Collin George | March 2026 Licensed under CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/