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Installation

pip install portwine

TLDR:

The Base ETF and Broad ETF seems to offer steady returns above SPY with limited drawdown. You will have to rotate the 2 winner ETF each 1-4 months and get the chance to reap 10-30% alpha over the SPY (S&P500)


SimpleSeekingAlphaStrategy (folder examples)

This example shows how the platform makes building and analyzing a basic equity rotation strategy simple. Below, we use the EquityDrawdownAnalyzer to visualize the portfolio drawdowns for an "all_ETF" portfolio—a diversified portfolio including all selected ETFs. The output chart (examples/all_etf.png) gives a quick overview of how the portfolio performed during market stress periods and helps identify potential risk episodes.

EquityDrawdownAnalyzer().plot(results)

Equity Drawdown – All ETFs


Monte Carlo Analysis

The Monte Carlo Analysis module helps simulate alternative portfolio equity paths using resampled returns from your strategy. The resulting chart (examples/base_etf_chart.png) illustrates potential future equity curves, helping you visualize risk and uncertainty beyond just the historical experience. The "base_etf" here typically refers to a single core ETF (such as SPY or a similar benchmark) used as a reference or a baseline for comparison in simulations.

MonteCarloAnalyzer().plot(results)

Monte Carlo Analysis – Base ETF


Seasonality Analysis

The Seasonality Analyzer can help reveal how your strategy or instrument tends to behave during certain months or quarters. In the example below, we use EquityDrawdownAnalyzer to look at historical drawdowns for the base ETF portfolio, as represented in (examples/base_etf.png), highlighting periods of seasonal weakness or strength.

EquityDrawdownAnalyzer().plot(results)

Seasonality & Drawdown – Base ETF

With more analytical tools and visualizations on the way!

The following chart illustrates the performance of a "broad_etf" portfolio, which typically includes a diverse set of ETFs spanning multiple asset classes, sectors, or geographies, providing a view of risk and returns across a wide investment universe.

Portfolio Equity – Broad ETFs

With more on the way!


Top-5 Equal-Weight S&P 500 Strategy (4_Top5_Monthly_Strategy.ipynb)

Each month, the notebook reads sp500_constituents/sp500_constituents_YYYYMM.csv and allocates capital equally across the top-5 S&P 500 constituents by market-cap weight (20 % each). The portfolio is fully rebalanced on the first trading day of every month. Returns are computed month-end to month-end and benchmarked against SPY.

Step Notebook
1 · Scrape current constituents 2_SP500_Constituents.ipynb
2 · Backfill history (2000 →) 3_Backfill_SP500_Constituents.ipynb
3 · Run strategy & chart 4_Top5_Monthly_Strategy.ipynb

Top-5 Equal-Weight Strategy vs SPY


Docs

https://stuartfarmer.github.io/portwine/

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The Rotten Brain: an impulsive ETF-rotator that chases shiny returns and forgets risk management. It's all connected by momentum

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