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Bayesian Hierarchical Pooling to Improve Flood Change Projections

πŸ“ˆ Project Overview

This project investigates ways to reduce the error in projected changes in design flood estimates (e.g., % Change in 50-year flood) under climate change scenarios by leveraging regional pooling strategies. We analyze results from process-based, deep-learning based, and hybrid hydrological models applied across 30 basins in Massachusetts, and compare different pooling techniques to improve the accuracy of flood change estimates.

πŸ“‚ Repository Structure

  • data/
    Contains input data, including basin-level covariates and model-estimated changes in 50-year flood estiamte under future climate conditions.

  • scripts/
    Contains all Python and SLURM scripts to run the full analysis.

About

There is large uncertainty in hydrological change projections; this project explores Bayesian pooling techniques to improve the accuracy of change in design flood predictions under climate change.

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