This project analyses the effect of the acquisition announcement on the acquiring companies’ stock returns by computing abnormal and cumulative abnormal returns.
Hull Tactical v7.1: A regime-aware "grey box" strategy for S&P 500 prediction. Combines Econophysics (Chaos/Entropy) with LightGBM and "Smart Noise" logic to challenge the EMH. (Mean Adj. Sharpe: 0.806)
An AI and data-driven analysis of gambling markets (EPL, Crash Games) to statistically test the 'house always wins' maxim.
Official code and dataset repository for the paper "Accuracy Without Profit: A Statistical Evaluation of Machine Learning Profitability in the English Premier League" (2025).
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