Skip to content
Open
Show file tree
Hide file tree
Changes from all commits
Commits
File filter

Filter by extension

Filter by extension

Conversations
Failed to load comments.
Loading
Jump to
Jump to file
Failed to load files.
Loading
Diff view
Diff view
6 changes: 3 additions & 3 deletions .Jules/palette.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -2,6 +2,6 @@
**Learning:** Adding color-coded indicators (Green/Red) and emojis (💰, 📉) in CLI tools significantly reduces cognitive load when parsing financial data streams. It transforms a wall of text into a scannable narrative.
**Action:** For data-heavy CLI applications, always implement a semantic color system and visual anchors (icons/emojis) for key events.

## 2026-02-06 - CLI Accessibility Standards
**Learning:** CLI tools are surprisingly inaccessible without standard flags like `--no-color` and `--quiet`. Users expect these controls to integrate with scripts and accessibility tools.
**Action:** Always implement `argparse` with quiet/color-disable options for any CLI outputting more than 5 lines.
## 2024-05-23 - CLI Accessibility & Pipeability
**Learning:** Hardcoded ANSI color codes in CLI tools break accessibility for screen readers and make piping output to files messy. Users need a way to disable them.
**Action:** Always implement a `--no-color` flag in CLI tools that programmatically disables all color codes.
2 changes: 0 additions & 2 deletions .gitignore
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -39,7 +39,5 @@

# debug information files
*.dwo

# Python
__pycache__/
*.pyc
22 changes: 20 additions & 2 deletions README.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -4,10 +4,11 @@ A Python-based CLI tool that simulates Bitcoin trading using a 'Golden Cross' mo

## Features

- **Price Simulation:** Uses Geometric Brownian Motion to simulate 60 days of Bitcoin prices.
- **Price Simulation:** Uses Geometric Brownian Motion to simulate Bitcoin prices.
- **Trading Strategy:** Implements a Golden Cross strategy (Short MA > Long MA = Buy, Short MA < Long MA = Sell).
- **Rich CLI Output:** features color-coded logs (Green for Buy/Profit, Red for Sell/Loss) and emojis for better readability.
- **Performance metrics:** Compares the strategy's performance against a "Buy and Hold" approach.
- **Customizable:** Configure simulation parameters via CLI arguments.

## Installation

Expand All @@ -20,12 +21,29 @@ pip install -r requirements.txt

## Usage

Run the simulation script:
Run the simulation script with default settings:

```bash
python bitcoin_trading_simulation.py
```

### Options

You can customize the simulation with the following arguments:

- `--days`: Number of days to simulate (default: 60)
- `--initial-cash`: Initial cash (default: 10000)
- `--initial-price`: Initial Bitcoin price (default: 50000)
- `--volatility`: Volatility factor (default: 0.02)
- `--quiet`: Suppress daily ledger output (only shows trades and final report)
- `--no-color`: Disable colored output (useful for logs or accessibility)

Example:

```bash
python bitcoin_trading_simulation.py --days 100 --initial-cash 5000 --quiet
```

## Tests

Run the test suite:
Expand Down
126 changes: 89 additions & 37 deletions bitcoin_trading_simulation.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -1,7 +1,9 @@
import argparse
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import argparse


class Colors:
HEADER = '\033[95m'
BLUE = '\033[94m'
Expand All @@ -19,9 +21,11 @@ def disable(cls):
cls.ENDC = ''
cls.BOLD = ''


def simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=60, initial_price=50000, volatility=0.02):
"""
Simulates Bitcoin prices for a given number of days using Geometric Brownian Motion.
Simulates Bitcoin prices for a given number of days using
Geometric Brownian Motion.
"""
dt = 1
prices = [initial_price]
Expand All @@ -33,32 +37,42 @@ def simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=60, initial_price=50000, volatility=0.02):
prices.append(prices[-1] + price_change)
return pd.Series(prices, name='Price')


def calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=7, long_window=30):
"""
Calculates short and long moving averages for a given price series.
"""
signals = pd.DataFrame(index=prices.index)
signals['price'] = prices
signals['short_mavg'] = prices.rolling(window=short_window, min_periods=1, center=False).mean()
signals['long_mavg'] = prices.rolling(window=long_window, min_periods=1, center=False).mean()
signals['short_mavg'] = prices.rolling(
window=short_window, min_periods=1, center=False).mean()
signals['long_mavg'] = prices.rolling(
window=long_window, min_periods=1, center=False).mean()
return signals


def generate_trading_signals(signals):
"""
Generates trading signals based on the Golden Cross strategy.
A buy signal (1.0) is generated when the short moving average crosses above the long moving average.
A sell signal (-1.0) is generated when the short moving average crosses below the long moving average.
A buy signal (1.0) is generated when the short moving average
crosses above the long moving average.
A sell signal (-1.0) is generated when the short moving average
crosses below the long moving average.
"""
signals['signal'] = 0.0
# A Golden Cross (buy signal)
signals.loc[signals['short_mavg'] > signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = 1.0
signals.loc[
signals['short_mavg'] > signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = 1.0
# A Death Cross (sell signal)
signals.loc[signals['short_mavg'] < signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = -1.0

# We create 'positions' to represent the trading action: 1 for buy, -1 for sell, 0 for hold
signals.loc[
signals['short_mavg'] < signals['long_mavg'], 'signal'] = -1.0

# We create 'positions' to represent the trading action:
# 1 for buy, -1 for sell, 0 for hold
signals['positions'] = signals['signal'].diff().shift(1)
return signals


def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000, quiet=False):
"""
Simulates trading based on signals and prints a daily ledger.
Expand All @@ -70,71 +84,105 @@ def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000, quiet=False):
portfolio['total_value'] = float(initial_cash)

if not quiet:
print(f"{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Daily Trading Ledger ------{Colors.ENDC}")
print(f"{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}"
f"------ Daily Trading Ledger ------"
f"{Colors.ENDC}")

for i, row in signals.iterrows():
if i > 0:
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] = portfolio.loc[i-1, 'cash']
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] = portfolio.loc[i-1, 'btc']
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] = portfolio.loc[i - 1, 'cash']
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] = portfolio.loc[i - 1, 'btc']

# Buy signal
if row['positions'] == 2.0:
btc_to_buy = portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] / row['price']
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] += btc_to_buy
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] -= btc_to_buy * row['price']
if not quiet:
print(f"{Colors.GREEN}Day {i}: 💰 Buy {btc_to_buy:.4f} BTC at ${row['price']:.2f}{Colors.ENDC}")
print(f"{Colors.GREEN}Day {i}: 💰 Buy {btc_to_buy:.4f} BTC "
f"at ${row['price']:.2f}{Colors.ENDC}")

# Sell signal
elif row['positions'] == -2.0:
if portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] > 0:
cash_received = portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] * row['price']
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] += cash_received
if not quiet:
print(f"{Colors.RED}Day {i}: 📉 Sell {portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f} BTC at ${row['price']:.2f}{Colors.ENDC}")
print(f"{Colors.RED}Day {i}: 📉 Sell "
f"{portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f} "
f"BTC at ${row['price']:.2f}{Colors.ENDC}")
portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] = 0

portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value'] = portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] + portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] * row['price']
portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value'] = (
portfolio.loc[i, 'cash'] + portfolio.loc[i, 'btc'] * row['price']
)

if not quiet:
print(f"Day {i}: Portfolio Value: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value']:.2f}, Cash: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'cash']:.2f}, BTC: {portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f}")

print(f"Day {i}: Portfolio Value: "
f"${portfolio.loc[i, 'total_value']:.2f}, "
f"Cash: ${portfolio.loc[i, 'cash']:.2f}, "
f"BTC: {portfolio.loc[i, 'btc']:.4f}")

return portfolio

if __name__ == "__main__":

def parse_arguments():
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description='Bitcoin Trading Simulation')
parser.add_argument('--days', type=int, default=60, help='Number of days to simulate')
parser.add_argument('--initial-cash', type=float, default=10000, help='Initial cash amount')
parser.add_argument('--initial-price', type=float, default=50000, help='Initial Bitcoin price')
parser.add_argument('--volatility', type=float, default=0.02, help='Volatility factor')
parser.add_argument('--quiet', action='store_true', help='Suppress daily output')
parser.add_argument('--no-color', action='store_true', help='Disable colored output')
parser.add_argument(
'--days', type=int, default=60,
help='Number of days to simulate (default: 60)')
parser.add_argument(
'--initial-cash', type=float, default=10000,
help='Initial cash (default: 10000)')
parser.add_argument(
'--initial-price', type=float, default=50000,
help='Initial Bitcoin price (default: 50000)')
parser.add_argument(
'--volatility', type=float, default=0.02,
help='Volatility factor (default: 0.02)')
parser.add_argument(
'--quiet', action='store_true',
help='Suppress daily ledger output')
parser.add_argument(
'--no-color', action='store_true',
help='Disable colored output')
return parser.parse_args()

args = parser.parse_args()

if __name__ == "__main__":
args = parse_arguments()

if args.no_color:
Colors.disable()

# Simulate prices
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=args.days, initial_price=args.initial_price, volatility=args.volatility)

prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(
days=args.days,
initial_price=args.initial_price,
volatility=args.volatility
)

# Calculate moving averages
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices)

# Generate trading signals
signals = generate_trading_signals(signals)

# Simulate trading
portfolio = simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=args.initial_cash, quiet=args.quiet)

portfolio = simulate_trading(
signals, initial_cash=args.initial_cash, quiet=args.quiet
)

# Final portfolio performance
final_value = portfolio['total_value'].iloc[-1]
initial_cash = args.initial_cash
profit = final_value - initial_cash

# Compare with buy and hold strategy
buy_and_hold_btc = initial_cash / prices.iloc[0]
buy_and_hold_value = buy_and_hold_btc * prices.iloc[-1]

print(f"\n{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}------ Final Portfolio Performance ------{Colors.ENDC}")

print(f"\n{Colors.HEADER}{Colors.BOLD}"
f"------ Final Portfolio Performance ------"
f"{Colors.ENDC}")
print(f"Initial Cash: ${initial_cash:.2f}")
print(f"Final Portfolio Value: ${final_value:.2f}")

Expand All @@ -144,4 +192,8 @@ def simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000, quiet=False):
print(f"Profit/Loss: {Colors.RED}📉 ${profit:.2f}{Colors.ENDC}")

print(f"Buy and Hold Strategy Value: ${buy_and_hold_value:.2f}")
print(f"{Colors.HEADER}-----------------------------------------{Colors.ENDC}")
print(
f"{Colors.HEADER}"
f"-----------------------------------------"
f"{Colors.ENDC}"
)
52 changes: 52 additions & 0 deletions test_bitcoin_trading.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
# Filename: test_bitcoin_trading.py
from bitcoin_trading_simulation import (
simulate_bitcoin_prices,
calculate_moving_averages,
generate_trading_signals,
simulate_trading
)
import pandas as pd


def test_simulate_bitcoin_prices():
prices = simulate_bitcoin_prices(days=10, initial_price=100)
assert len(prices) == 10
assert prices.iloc[0] == 100


def test_calculate_moving_averages():
prices = pd.Series([10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19], name='Price')
signals = calculate_moving_averages(prices, short_window=2, long_window=5)
assert 'short_mavg' in signals.columns
assert 'long_mavg' in signals.columns


def test_generate_trading_signals():
# Create a dummy signals DataFrame
data = {
'price': [100, 105, 110, 100, 90],
'short_mavg': [100, 105, 110, 100, 90],
'long_mavg': [100, 100, 100, 105, 110]
}
signals = pd.DataFrame(data)
signals = generate_trading_signals(signals)
assert 'signal' in signals.columns
assert 'positions' in signals.columns
# Check if signals are generated (1.0 for buy, -1.0 for sell)
assert signals['signal'].iloc[2] == 1.0 # Buy signal
assert signals['signal'].iloc[4] == -1.0 # Sell signal


def test_simulate_trading():
# Create a dummy signals DataFrame with a buy signal
data = {
'price': [100, 105, 110],
'short_mavg': [100, 105, 110],
'long_mavg': [100, 100, 100],
'positions': [0.0, 2.0, 0.0] # Buy at index 1
}
signals = pd.DataFrame(data)
portfolio = simulate_trading(signals, initial_cash=10000, quiet=True)
assert not portfolio.empty
assert portfolio['btc'].iloc[1] > 0
assert portfolio['cash'].iloc[1] < 10000